Tajikistan, Central Asia's poorest state and Afghanistan's northern neighbour, is under dangerous pressure both internally and externally, according to an early warning report by International Crisis Group. The peace and security that has lasted for almost 20 years in Tajikistan is now facing serious threats. Nevertheless, it could be argued that the fact that peace has lasted for two decades is in itself significant. It is indicative of the relative success of the architecture of the Tajik peace accord of June 1997, which may have lessons for the diplomatic efforts under way for peace in both Afghanistan and Syria.
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