Tuesday, 9 February 2016

Expecting the unexpected: Why the oil price keeps surprising us (VoxEU CEPR)

Expectations play a key role in assessing how oil price fluctuations affect the economy. This column explores how consumers, policymakers, financial market participants, and economists form expectations about the price of crude oil, the differences in these expectations, and why future realisations of the price of oil so often differ substantially from these expectations. Differences in oil price expectations are shown to matter for quantifying oil price shocks and their transmission.

http://www.voxeu.org/article/expecting-unexpected-why-oil-price-keeps-surprising-us

No comments:

Post a Comment