Although both the Republican and the Democratic nominating conventions are coming up soon, both parties effectively decided on their nominee long ago. Trump secured the GOP nomination in May, when both Senator Ted Cruz and Ohio Governor John Kasich dropped out, and Clinton secured the necessary number of delegates for the Democratic nomination in June, despite the persistence of her challenger, Senator Bernie Sanders. But the presidential nominees will not be alone on the ballot in November—and the primary season for those congressional seats is just over halfway finished. Much has been said so far about the impact of Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump on congressional candidates, either in the primary or in the general, but little has been tested empirically. In the second cycle of the Brookings Primary Project, we have taken exit polls from congressional primaries to see what effect—if any—the presidential candidates are having down ballot. The answer so far: Not much.
http://www.brookings.edu/blogs/fixgov/posts/2016/07/07-trump-sanders-outsider-congressional-candidate-kamarck-podkul-wallack-zeppos
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