Russia 2030: A story of great power dreams and small victorious wars (Fredrik Wesslau, Andrew Wilson, ECFR)

The future of Europe’s relations with Russia looks bleak. The Kremlin is pursuing an increasingly aggressive foreign policy to assert itself as a great power and distract from economic woes at home. Europe can’t fix Russia, but it can influence it and lower the risk of major conflict

http://www.ecfr.eu/publications/summary/russia_2030_a_story_of_great_power_dreams_and_small_victorious_wars

No stability under occupation in Crimea (Andrew Wilson, ECFR)

In February 2016 the release of the Ukrainian National Security and Defence Council transcript in the anniversary week of the annexation (28 February 2014) showed just how easy it had been for the Russians to take over the peninsula.

http://www.ecfr.eu/article/commentary_crimea_no_stability_under_occupation6042