Tuesday, 1 March 2016

Plus ça change, plus c'est la même chose: Why the underlying drivers of change in the Middle East haven’t changed (Tamara Cofman Wittes, Brookings)

Supporters of Egypt's army and police gather at Tahrir square in Cairo, on the third anniversary of Egypt's uprising, January 25, 2014. Nine people were killed during anti-government marches on Saturday while thousands rallied in support of the army-led authorities, underlining Egypt's volatile political fissures three years after the fall of autocrat President Hosni Mubarak. Security forces lobbed teargas and some fired automatic weapons in the air to try to prevent demonstrators opposed to the government reaching Tahrir Square, the symbolic heart of the 2011 uprising that toppled the former air force commander. REUTERS/Mohamed Abd El Ghany

The situation in the region has changed so dramatically since then, but I think that the fundamental insights that informed that book remain true. The underlying drivers of change in the Middle East are still there in terms of the demographic drivers, the economic drivers, the technological drivers that I described in the book; they are all still present.

http://www.brookings.edu/blogs/markaz/posts/2016/02/29-drivers-of-change-middle-east-wittes

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